Transformers: Dark of the Moon may not have come anywhere near Revenge of the Fallen‘s $62 million Wednesday intake, but $37.7 million is not a bad start in the least. The question is, how will this initial difference affect the rest of Dark of the Moon‘s opening weekend? Revenge of the Fallen began its run with a $109 million weekend and Dark of the Moon should have no problem coming close. The difference? For Dark of the Moon that total will be the result of a four-day weekend rather than a mere three-day one like Revenge of the Fallen. Should Dark of the Moon continue to have a lesser per theater average than Revenge of the Fallen, it could be heading towards a $100 million four-day weekend.

While Dark of the Moon is certainly going to steal quite a bit of their thunder this weekend, Larry Crowne and Monte Carlo will both make wide release debuts as well. Last year, Julia Roberts made her summer impression with the help of Javier Bardem and James Franco in Eat Pray Love. This time around she ditches the multitude of men for just one, Tom Hanks, in Larry Crowne. Should Larry Crowne put up a similar fight, it could pull off a $30 million opening.

As for Monte Carlo, it’s bound to get the short end of the stick, Transformers likely stealing any young moviegoers uninterested in Roberts and Hanks’ romance in Larry Crowne. This one is likely going to attract the Prom crowd and, based on that film’s performance, that demographic is far from a sure thing. If Monte Carlo’s per theater average parallels Prom’s, it’ll earn about $7 million by the end of the holiday weekend.

The rest of the top ten belongs to the box office veterans. Likely snagging the second position is Cars 2, which is poised to lose at least 45% of its week one earnings like its predecessor. Should that be the case, Cars 2 will cross the week two finish line with about $36.4 million for the weekend and about $49.5 million for the holiday weekend. Should Bad Teacher take a Due Date-like fall, it’ll come in with about $20 million for four days.

Green Lantern took one heck of a punch to the gut last weekend, losing a whopping 66% of its week one earnings. Thanks to Transformers, week two should be no different and, should Green Lantern plummet once again, it might only come in with about $10 million for the July 4th weekend. However, this could make for a brighter weekend for Super 8 as it’ll hopefully watch as Green Lantern slides right by. Super 8 has yet to lose more that 45% in a single weekend and I doubt it’ll start now. Should it lose that 45%, it’ll come in with about $10 million, perhaps just enough to give it an edge over Green Lantern.

Mr. Popper’s Penguins saw a rather modest week two decline of 45% and as there’s nothing new arriving in the animation or kids department, it shouldn’t fall much more than that this time around. It could wrap up the holiday weekend with about $7.5 million. X-Men: First Class and The Hangover Part II will likely round out the top ten, both losing another 45% of their earnings, but still come in with about $5 million and $4 million respectively thanks to the holiday weekend.

Shockya.com Predictions

10. The Hangover Part II

By Perri Nemiroff (via Box Office Mojo)