It’s Halloween weekend, yet, sadly, there are no new horror releases. Then again, this will most certainly bode well for last weekend’s big winner, Paranormal Activity 3. With many in the mood for a good scare, zero competition and a stellar opening, Paranormal Activity 3 could hold on far stronger than the second film, losing just 35% of its opening earnings in week two, giving it another $34 million. However, that likely won’t be enough to hold onto that #1 spot two weekends in a row.
As for our newcomers, the biggest earner will likely be Puss in Boots. With zero competition in the family-friendly department and a whopping 3,800+ theater count, Puss could be looking at numbers similar to Megamind and take about $45 million and the top spot its first weekend out. In Time is due to arrive in over 3,000 and while it does boast a high concept and a hot young cast, it’ll likely find itself on par with 2009’s Surrogates and amass about $15 million by the end of the weekend. Last up for the new releases is The Rum Diary, which is only set to play in about 2,100 theaters. While Johnny Depp is typically a monumental moneymaker, this time around, he might find himself on the mediocre side, perhaps only earning as much as his December 2010 release, The Tourist, about $13 million.
As for our non-Paranormal veterans, both Real Steel and Footloose will likely continue to enjoy their moderate falls, but their percent changes should increase the slightest bit, Footloose losing about 45% and Real Steel about the same. Should that be the case, Real Steel will snag the fifth position on the top ten with another $6 million and Footloose will come in sixth with about $5.5 million
After a lackluster start, things won’t improve much for The Three Musketeers. In fact, its weak opening intake could be slashed in half in week two, leaving it with just $4.5 million and far out of reach of its estimated $75 million budget. The Ides of March, on the other hand, is poised to continue its modest decline, perhaps only losing about 32% yet again and making another $3 million. As for Dolphin Tale and Moneyball, with all the new competition in the running, they’re on their way out, perhaps both losing half of their profits and coming in with about $2 million and $1.5 million, respectively.
Shockya.com Predictions
1. Puss in Boots
2. Paranormal Activity 3
3. In Time
4. The Rum Diary
5. Real Steel
6. Footloose
7. The Three Musketeers
8. The Ides of March
9. Dolphin Tale
10. Moneyball
By Perri Nemiroff (via Box Office Mojo)
