We’re getting a double dose of comedy to ring in the new month – Tower Heist and A Very Harold & Kumar 3D Christmas. Of the two, Tower Heist is likely to come out on top courtesy of its star-studded cast and 3,200+ theaters. Should Tower Heist post a $8,000 per theater average, somewhat similar to that of Night of the Museum, it’ll finish its first weekend with about $25 million. As for A Very Harold & Kumar 3D Christmas, it looks to fall right in line with its predecessor, Escape from Guantanamo Bay. Should Harold & Kumar snag another $6,000 per theater average it’ll accumulate about $16 million for weekend one.
Moving onto our old timers, Puss in Boots could stay on line with 2007’s Bee Movie. Should that be the case, Puss is looking at 35% week one to two drop, which would leave it with another $22 million to take to the bank. After a rough free fall, things will get better for Paranormal Activity 3, but not by much. If its week two earnings are slashed in half, it’ll wrap week three with about $9 million.
In Time didn’t have a half bad start and considering there’s no new competition intruding on its territory it should hold on rather strong, perhaps only losing about 40% of its week one profits. Another $7 million will give it more than enough to assume the fifth position on the top ten. In a distant sixth will likely be The Rum Diary. After a dismal launch, interest in the Johnny Depp-starrer will likely plummet, perhaps only leaving the film with about $3 million for its second week out and a far cry away from its $45 million budget.
Footloose has had a nice run, only losing 33.5% from week one to two and then 46.8% from week two to three and luckily, that number shouldn’t increase at all. Actually, Footloose could only take a 45% week four hit, giving it another $3 million, which could possibly be just enough to steal that sixth spot from The Rum Diary. Real Steel is fading fast heading into its fifth week. Should the film lose about 50% of its profits again, it’ll end up with about $2.5 million. The Three Musketeers will find itself in a similar position, but, sadly, it’s only in its third weekend out. It looks as though that one will only take another $2 million, bringing its minimal domestic total to just under $20 million on a supposed $75 million budget. The Ides of March could come close to topping The Three Musketeers, but will likely take another 40% hit, leaving it with a total of just about $1.6 million, pushing Moneyball out of the top ten.
Shockya.com Predictions
1. Tower Heist
2. Puss in Boots
3. A Very Harold & Kumar Christmas
4. Paranormal Activity 3
5. In Time
6. Footloose
7. The Rum Diary
8. Real Steel
9. The Three Musketeers
10. The Ideas of March
By Perri Nemiroff (via Box Office Mojo)