Regardless of the critical consensus thus far, this weekend could offer up two fairly solid performers. While I hope Adam Sandler in drag and miserable reviews wind up scaring off a fair amount of his loyal followers, it looks as though Jack and Jill will enter cross-dressing fame alongside the latest installment of Tyler Perry’s Madea franchise with about $25 million. On a $75 million budget, it’s Tarsem Singh’s Immortals that’s got far more to lose. The latest pricy adventure film, The Three Musketeers, tanked hard, but there’s a chance that that might have created enough of a longing for something solid in the action realm for Immortals to post a decent number. No, it won’t be 300 all over again, but Immortals could wrap weekend one with the same amount as Beowulf, about $27.5 million. On the smaller side, Clint Eastwood’s J. Edgar is due to arrive in 1,910 theaters, but sour reviews could taint the Oscar buzz and, therefore, could deter moviegoers from catching this one. J. Edgar looks to open just below Invictus with about $7 million.
As for the old timers, Puss in Boots should have no trouble topping the bunch. There’s no chance it’ll see another 3% loss, but a 30% loss is a pretty minimal drop for a film in its third week. Should that be the case, Puss in Boots will take another $23 million and snag the third position. After a solid start, Tower Heist looks to drop just 35%, giving it another $15 million. On the other hand, should A Very Harold & Kumar 3D Christmas follow in the footsteps of its predecessor, Escape from Guantanamo Bay, it’ll plummet a whopping 60% and take just $5 million for week two.
Should Paranormal Activity 3 remain on the same path as the second film, it’ll continue its 60% per week loss and come in with only another $3.5 million. Still without much genre competition, In Time could continue its modest decline, losing 40% of its week two profits, giving it $4.5 million for week three, allowing it to pass right by Paranormal Activity. Similarly, Footloose could keep up its solid performance, losing just 35% from week four to five, allowing it to add another $3 million to its $44 million+ domestic grand total. Rounding out the top ten should be sixth-weeker Real Steel, as last weekend, it already had quite the lead on The Rum Diary. Should Real Steel drop about 40%, it’ll make its last appearance on the top ten with about $2 million.
Shockya.com Predictions
1. Immortals
2. Jack and Jill
3. Puss in Boots
4. Tower Heist
5. J. Edgar
6. A Very Harold & Kumar 3D Christmas
7. In Time
8. Paranormal Activity 3
9. Footloose
10. Real Steel
By Perri Nemiroff (via Box Office Mojo)