Is The Avengers poised to take down yet another potential summer blockbuster? Most definitely. After a stellar $207.4 million opening and an equally impressive $103.1 million second weekend haul, The Avengers is on its way to another 50% loss, letting it bring in $52 million. Battleship is due out in 3,690 theaters, but poor reviews, the odd premise and The Avengers will wind up steering so much attention away, the $209 million film might only earn $30 million its first weekend out, just like John Carter.
What to Expect When You’re Expecting, on the other hand, could make a solid chunk of cash for what it is. We haven’t seen a romantic comedy in a bit and the film’s got a long list of A-listers, so this one could be on its way to a Crazy, Stupid, Love-sized opening of about $20 million. As for The Dictator, $4.2 million isn’t a particularly strong Wednesday start, so it might only be able to match The Three Stooges’ $17 million at the end of its first full weekend out.
After a lackluster start, Dark Shadows might be heading towards a hefty slice in half, leaving it with just $15 million for weekend two. That’s a tough break for a $150 million production. Think Like a Man, however, should continue to cruise along quite nicely, perhaps only losing 40% this time around and taking another $3.5 million. The Hunger Games should also enjoy another minimal drop, maybe even just 35% for just under $3 million.
What to Expect When You’re Expecting certainly won’t steal all of the romantic spotlight, but The Lucky One’s 834 theater drop could certainly lead to a loss of at least 45% of its weekend four intake for just over $2 million in weekend five. The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel got a nice boost last weekend thanks to an additional 151 locations, but that $15,012 per theater average will undoubtedly come down and perhaps to just $8,000. Should that be the case, it’ll only take another $1.5 million to the bank, which will be enough to knock out The Five-Year Engagement, but not The Pirates! Band of Misfits, which could earn slightly more.
Shockya.com Predictions
1. The Avengers
2. Battleship
3. What to Expect When You’re Expecting
4. The Dictator
5. Dark Shadows
6. Think Like a Man
7. The Hunger Games
8. The Lucky One
9. The Pirates! Band of Misfits
10. The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel
By Perri Nemiroff (via Box Office Mojo)