It’s the first weekend of October; looking to get in the Halloween spirit? “Frankenweenie” can help you with that. The latest from Tim Burton hits 3,005 theaters and while “Hotel Transylvania” will certainly steal some of its thunder, the film has a shot at matching “Monster House’s” $22 million for the #3 spot. #1 one will likely go to “Taken,” which despite dismal reviews, could follow in the footsteps of “The Bourne Legacy,” earning about $38 million opening weekend.
“Hotel Transylvania” should have no trouble holding strong, possibly dropping just 40% for another $25 million, and perhaps coming in just ahead of “Frankenweenie.” Thanks to some very positive buzz, “Looper” should find itself in good shape as well. Should it also lose 40% of its opening profits, it’ll take $12.5 million for its second weekend out. Not bad, but is it enough to trump “Pitch Perfect?” After a strong limited opening, “Pitch Perfect” is going wide and adding an additional 2,435 theaters to its original 335. Should its first weekend per theater average of $15,371 drop down to $6,000, it’ll still take another $16 million, more than enough to top “Looper.”
Even though it’s losing 209 theaters, with no new dramas coming out, “Trouble with the Curve” could maintain that 40% loss and add another $4.5 million to its domestic total. “End of Watch,” on the other hand, has a 410 theater loss and “Looper” to contend with, so it could lose 45%, earning $4 million, and losing the 6th spot to “Trouble with the Curve.” “House at the End of the Street” has held on rather well for a horror movie, but that likely won’t be the case this time around, the film losing 363 theaters and finally taking that 50% horror hit for a $3.5 million weekend three total.
“Finding Nemo 3D” is losing a whopping 893 theaters, but thanks to last weekend’s $1.5 million lead on “The Master,” it should manage to take in another $2 million and just edge it out for ninth place. However, “The Master” won’t be far behind, likely losing 40% again, which would give it $1.6 million.
Shockya.com Predictions
1. Taken 2
2. Frankenweenie
3. Hotel Transylvania
4. Pitch Perfect
5. Looper
6. Trouble with the Curve
7. End of Watch
8. House at the End of the Street
9. Finding Nemo 3D
10. The Master
By Perri Nemiroff (via Box Office Mojo)
